Chaves vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
45.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
VIZ
1 - 0
CHA
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 1
OLH
36%
30%
34%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
GON
3 - 0
CHA
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 1
VIT
23%
28%
49%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
RIO
3 - 2
CHA
70%
20%
10%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
VAR
1 - 0
OLM
60%
23%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
SPB
2 - 0
VAR
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
PEN
2 - 1
VAR
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
POR
1 - 2
VAR
34%
28%
39%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
VAR
3 - 2
VIZ
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +2 |