Charneca Caparica vs Almada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Charneca Caparica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MCA
1 - 1
CHC
68%
18%
14%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CHC
1 - 2
OGR
42%
23%
35%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 2
CHC
40%
23%
37%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CHC
1 - 2
ALF
33%
24%
44%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CHC
0 - 2
AMO
9%
16%
75%
|
12 | 40 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Almada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 4
AMO
9%
16%
75%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SES
1 - 1
ALM
57%
21%
22%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 1
PAL
48%
22%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
OMO
2 - 1
ALM
30%
23%
47%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 1
CIN
28%
23%
49%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |