Charneca Caparica vs Alcochetense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
71.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Charneca Caparica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
FCB
5 - 1
CHC
88%
9%
3%
|
9 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CHC
2 - 1
UBA
11%
18%
71%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
USA
2 - 0
CHC
78%
14%
8%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CHC
1 - 0
BMA
44%
23%
33%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 0
CHC
71%
17%
12%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Alcochetense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 1
AMO
15%
19%
66%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SES
1 - 2
ALC
39%
24%
37%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ALC
3 - 0
PAL
72%
17%
12%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
OMO
0 - 1
ALC
13%
19%
69%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 1
CIN
80%
13%
7%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | -1 |