Chapulineros de Oaxaca vs Tuxtla FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapulineros de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
OUN
0 - 2
CHA
20%
24%
56%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 2
ORI
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
RCU
2 - 3
CHA
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 0
ATM
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
AME
2 - 1
CHA
32%
25%
43%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tuxtla FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
JAG
1 - 0
POL
64%
18%
18%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
PDC
2 - 0
JAG
78%
15%
8%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
JAG
1 - 0
CAN
39%
22%
39%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
PUM
0 - 0
JAG
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
JAS
4 - 1
JAG
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |