Chapecoense vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
5.4%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 1
CAM
74%
18%
9%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CAC
2 - 2
CHA
15%
24%
61%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
FFL
0 - 1
CHA
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
CRI
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
HER
1 - 0
CHA
18%
24%
58%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
FFL
2 - 1
MAR
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAM
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
CRI
0 - 1
MAR
78%
16%
6%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
AVA
10%
20%
70%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
JEC
0 - 0
MAR
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |