Chapecoense vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 0
CHA
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 1
AAC
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
AAC
1 - 2
CHA
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
LON
1 - 1
CHA
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 1
LON
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 0
CHA
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 1
TUP
52%
26%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
TUP
3 - 2
MAC
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MAC
0 - 0
TUP
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
TUP
1 - 1
MAC
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |