Chapecoense vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
60.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
19%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.3%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 0
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 0
GUA
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 2
CHA
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
TOM
2 - 1
CHA
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 3
LON
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
PPE
83%
12%
4%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 1
GRE
14%
26%
60%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
GRE
3 - 0
TOM
81%
15%
5%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
NAU
78%
16%
7%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 0
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |