Chapadão vs UMJEC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.1%
Win probability
3.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
6.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
COX
1 - 1
CHA
41%
24%
35%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 2
CEN
27%
23%
51%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
COR
2 - 3
CHA
71%
17%
12%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
7DE
2 - 1
CHA
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
CHA
7 - 1
RIO
63%
19%
18%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
UMJEC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
UMJ
2 - 4
COS
4%
19%
77%
|
13 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
COX
3 - 1
UMJ
83%
10%
7%
|
13 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
UMJ
2 - 1
RIO
3%
16%
81%
|
10 | 31 | 21 | +3 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 0
UMJ
50%
22%
28%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
UMJ
1 - 0
OPE
10%
18%
72%
|
9 | 60 | 51 | +1 |