Chapadão vs Misto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CEN
3 - 1
CHA
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 0
CHA
39%
24%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 2
AQU
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
CHA
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 2
COM
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Misto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MIS
3 - 0
COM
42%
24%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
MIS
2 - 1
CEN
25%
23%
52%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 0
MIS
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
MIS
2 - 2
AQU
38%
25%
38%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
MIS
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |