Sul-Matogrossense Quarter-finals
Global 3-5
Chapadão vs Corumbaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
COR
2 - 1
CHA
42%
25%
34%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 2
CEN
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
COM
0 - 2
CHA
35%
26%
40%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 0
COS
30%
26%
45%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 2
NOV
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Corumbaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
COR
2 - 1
CHA
42%
25%
34%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
NAV
3 - 3
COR
62%
22%
15%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
COR
2 - 0
UBI
12%
17%
71%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
IVI
0 - 0
COR
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
COR
0 - 1
7DE
48%
25%
28%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |