Chapadão vs Comercial MS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
COS
1 - 0
CHA
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
COS
18%
23%
59%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
OPE
2 - 1
CHA
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
ABC
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
COM
3 - 1
CHA
33%
26%
41%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Comercial MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
ABC
1 - 3
COM
26%
22%
52%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
COS
4 - 0
COM
67%
19%
13%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
COM
3 - 1
CHA
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
OPE
0 - 0
COM
62%
21%
18%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
COM
0 - 1
ABC
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |