Niort vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
27.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2015 |
NIO
0 - 3
STL
47%
28%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
GAZ
3 - 2
NIO
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
NIO
1 - 1
AUX
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
SOC
2 - 3
NIO
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
NIO
3 - 0
CHA
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 0
SED
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 1
MOU
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 1
GAZ
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
SOC
1 - 1
VAL
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 2
STL
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |