Niort vs Moulins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
5.8%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2005 |
CHA
0 - 1
NIO
14%
23%
63%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2005 |
NIO
2 - 0
ROM
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
PAU
0 - 0
NIO
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2005 |
NIO
6 - 1
LHA
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2005 |
FCG
2 - 1
NIO
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Moulins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2005 |
MOU
1 - 1
RAO
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2005 |
FCL
2 - 0
MOU
73%
18%
9%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
MOU
0 - 1
NIC
12%
22%
65%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | +1 |