Niort vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.5%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
37.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
BAS
4 - 1
NIO
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
NIO
2 - 2
CAE
26%
26%
48%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
FCL
3 - 1
NIO
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
NIO
0 - 0
REI
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
IST
1 - 0
NIO
37%
28%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2006 |
MET
2 - 1
MPL
54%
26%
20%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
DIJ
0 - 3
MET
45%
28%
27%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2006 |
CAE
0 - 0
MET
53%
25%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
MET
2 - 1
BAS
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
MET
0 - 1
LUS
60%
24%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |