Niort vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
44.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
CLE
0 - 1
NIO
39%
28%
32%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
ARL
0 - 0
NIO
41%
29%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
NIO
2 - 0
MET
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
LHA
1 - 2
NIO
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
CAB
2 - 2
NIO
33%
25%
42%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
CAE
1 - 0
ARL
58%
25%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
LIL
3 - 3
CAE
73%
18%
10%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
MET
2 - 1
CAE
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
CAE
1 - 1
TRO
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
LUS
1 - 2
CAE
29%
26%
46%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |