Niort vs Aurillac Arpajon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
COL
1 - 0
NIO
25%
28%
47%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
FON
1 - 2
NIO
25%
28%
47%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
YZE
1 - 1
NIO
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
NIO
1 - 1
BAL
68%
21%
11%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
TOF
0 - 1
NIO
19%
26%
54%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
AUR
0 - 0
BAL
51%
25%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
TOF
0 - 0
AUR
36%
27%
37%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
AUR
0 - 2
PSG
44%
27%
30%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
FCL
4 - 0
AUR
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
AUR
3 - 2
LES
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |