CF Villanovense vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
EXT
1 - 2
VIL
24%
27%
49%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
ATH
2 - 0
VIL
55%
24%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
ATH
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 0
BET
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
CAD
2 - 0
VIL
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
LOR
1 - 1
GRA
13%
20%
68%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 1
LOR
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LOR
1 - 3
SRQ
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SEV
1 - 0
LOR
42%
27%
32%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
LOR
4 - 1
CPC
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |