Rafal vs Racing San Miguel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
22.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+307%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 0
RAF
39%
22%
39%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
RAF
2 - 1
CDC
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ALT
2 - 2
RAF
38%
23%
39%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
RAF
11 - 2
SPO
88%
9%
3%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
RAC
0 - 1
RAF
44%
22%
34%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Racing San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
RAC
0 - 0
HON
52%
21%
27%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 3
RAC
62%
20%
19%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
RAC
3 - 4
TOR
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
HON
4 - 2
RAC
30%
22%
48%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
RAC
0 - 1
RAF
44%
22%
34%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |