Belenenses SAD vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
50.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belenenses SAD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2022 |
MOR
4 - 1
BEL
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 4
SCP
10%
17%
73%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
BEL
53%
27%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 4
FCP
10%
18%
72%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2022 |
FAM
1 - 0
BEL
60%
24%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
VIT
2 - 1
SPB
24%
24%
52%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
VIZ
3 - 2
VIT
31%
28%
42%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
VIT
3 - 1
EST
55%
25%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
VIT
31%
28%
41%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2022 |
GFC
3 - 2
VIT
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |