Madrid Rio vs EF At. Casarrubuelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madrid Rio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
FPG
2 - 1
CFM
24%
23%
53%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
CFM
0 - 0
MBP
44%
21%
35%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
LEG
2 - 3
CFM
46%
22%
31%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
LUL
1 - 4
CFM
34%
23%
44%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
CFM
6 - 1
BET
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
EF At. Casarrubuelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
CAS
0 - 0
BET
54%
22%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
GRI
0 - 0
CAS
73%
15%
12%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
CAS
2 - 2
AVA
69%
18%
14%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
LAA
1 - 2
CAS
20%
22%
58%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
CAS
1 - 1
EFC
43%
24%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |