Liga MX Finals - Clausura Quarter-finals
Global 1-0
Indios vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
34.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
IND
3 - 1
CHI
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
CAZ
0 - 1
IND
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
PUE
0 - 2
IND
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
IND
0 - 0
PUM
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
AME
3 - 3
IND
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
SNL
1 - 5
TOL
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
TOL
4 - 1
TIG
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ATS
0 - 0
TOL
41%
27%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
JAG
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
PAC
3 - 1
TOL
45%
27%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |