Indios vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
41.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2008 |
SAN
3 - 0
IND
72%
17%
10%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
IND
2 - 3
NEC
31%
28%
42%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
MON
2 - 0
IND
69%
20%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
IND
0 - 1
EST
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
LEO
2 - 2
IND
59%
21%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
TOL
3 - 1
PUE
58%
24%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
TOL
0 - 1
CHI
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
PUM
2 - 1
TOL
49%
27%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
TOL
2 - 1
AME
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
ATL
2 - 1
TOL
48%
26%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |