Indios vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
PUM
3 - 4
IND
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
IND
2 - 0
TAM
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
MON
1 - 3
IND
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
IND
1 - 0
LOB
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
IND
2 - 0
CAÑ
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
CAZ
0 - 0
UAT
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
TAB
1 - 3
CAZ
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
CAZ
0 - 0
MEX
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
PUE
0 - 0
CAZ
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
CAZ
4 - 3
VER
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |