CF Extremadura vs Mérida UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Extremadura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
CDB
3 - 0
EXT
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
EXT
1 - 0
LAN
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
ULP
1 - 0
EXT
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
EXT
3 - 2
BET
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
ECI
2 - 1
EXT
35%
30%
35%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
MER
2 - 0
CPC
27%
28%
45%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
PPJ
1 - 0
MER
68%
20%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
MER
0 - 0
COR
31%
28%
41%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
SEV
4 - 0
MER
58%
25%
17%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
MER
1 - 0
PAL
46%
29%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |