CF Base Abarán vs Real Murcia Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
67.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
CDB
1 - 3
ABA
54%
23%
23%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ABA
0 - 1
MSM
26%
25%
49%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 0
ABA
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
ABA
1 - 2
BAL
20%
21%
58%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
ABA
0 - 0
PLU
18%
22%
59%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
IMP
1 - 0
PUL
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
MOR
0 - 4
IMP
31%
27%
43%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
IMP
0 - 0
LHO
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 1
IMP
15%
21%
64%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
IMP
2 - 0
CAL
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |