CF Base Abarán vs Club Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
45.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
CAL
2 - 0
ABA
61%
22%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
PIN
1 - 0
ABA
78%
15%
7%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ABA
0 - 2
CAR
18%
23%
60%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
CIE
1 - 0
ABA
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
ABA
2 - 0
PUT
25%
24%
51%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Club Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 0
PUL
24%
23%
53%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
MOR
3 - 0
FOR
80%
14%
6%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 3
LHO
20%
23%
58%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 1
SAN
30%
24%
46%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
CAL
2 - 1
FOR
36%
25%
39%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |