CF Base Abarán vs Club Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
47.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
4 - 0
ABA
56%
23%
21%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ABA
0 - 3
CIE
19%
22%
60%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
BAL
3 - 1
ABA
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
ABA
0 - 0
CUA
52%
23%
25%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
ABA
1 - 1
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Club Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 3
YEC
25%
23%
53%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
LUM
0 - 1
FOR
17%
21%
62%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 0
MAZ
46%
24%
30%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
JUM
1 - 2
FOR
62%
21%
18%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
PUL
1 - 0
FOR
44%
24%
33%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |