Cesarense vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
57.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CES
2 - 0
SPO
90%
8%
3%
|
43 | 13 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
GON
1 - 1
CES
53%
25%
22%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
PED
2 - 2
CES
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CES
1 - 2
SPC
16%
23%
62%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CES
1 - 1
COI
57%
23%
19%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
COI
1 - 3
UNM
12%
20%
68%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
UNM
0 - 2
LUS
74%
17%
8%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
UNM
2 - 0
USA
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 18 | 39 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
UNM
2 - 1
LEC
89%
9%
2%
|
57 | 18 | 39 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MER
0 - 3
UNM
19%
22%
59%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |