Cesarense vs Anadia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SCV
3 - 4
CES
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CIN
2 - 0
CES
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
TOC
0 - 0
CES
30%
24%
45%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CES
4 - 0
COI
40%
26%
35%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CIN
2 - 1
CES
61%
22%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Anadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ANA
0 - 1
SER
26%
25%
50%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ANA
3 - 2
GRI
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ACV
4 - 0
ANA
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ANA
2 - 0
TOC
63%
20%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
COI
1 - 1
ANA
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |