Cerro Porteño vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
11.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
12O
1 - 3
CCP
21%
26%
53%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 0
CCP
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
CCP
4 - 1
NAC
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 1
CCP
35%
26%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CCP
1 - 1
LIB
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
DEP
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
SPC
0 - 1
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
2DE
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
IND
3 - 2
SAN
37%
26%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 1
SPT
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |