PF Cerro Por. vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
54.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PF Cerro Por.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AME
4 - 1
CER
55%
24%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CER
2 - 1
12O
65%
21%
15%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 1
CER
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CER
0 - 0
CAC
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 1
CER
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
EME
1 - 0
OLI
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
OLI
3 - 2
CAR
67%
19%
13%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 0
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 0
LIB
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 1
RÑU
61%
22%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |