Central Coast Mariners vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CCM
1 - 0
ADE
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PER
1 - 0
CCM
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
TIT
0 - 0
CCM
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CCM
1 - 1
SYD
54%
24%
21%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
CCM
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FCT
3 - 2
NAG
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NAG
1 - 0
SHI
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
NAG
2 - 2
SEO
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2011 |
NAG
0 - 0
YFM
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
NAG
3 - 3
KAR
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |