CENE vs Chapadão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
MIS
2 - 1
CEN
25%
23%
52%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CEN
3 - 1
NOV
69%
17%
14%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
AQU
0 - 0
CEN
29%
24%
48%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
CEN
4 - 1
MAR
72%
16%
12%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
COM
0 - 5
CEN
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 0
CHA
39%
24%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 2
AQU
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
CHA
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 2
COM
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 1
AGU
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |