CENE vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
71%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
VIT
6 - 0
CEN
93%
6%
1%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
CEN
0 - 0
VIT
7%
17%
76%
|
49 | 81 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
FRI
1 - 2
BOT
15%
21%
65%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
BOT
1 - 0
AME
67%
20%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
VAS
1 - 1
BOT
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
BAN
2 - 1
BOT
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
BOT
0 - 1
SAO
28%
24%
48%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |