Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1892 |
STM
1 - 3
CEL
30%
23%
47%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1892 |
DUM
0 - 3
CEL
41%
23%
37%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1892 |
CEL
3 - 1
CLY
67%
19%
15%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1892 |
GLA
2 - 2
CEL
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1892 |
CEL
3 - 2
ABE
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1892 |
CLY
2 - 3
HOM
30%
22%
48%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1892 |
HOM
1 - 3
DUM
59%
20%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1892 |
REN
4 - 1
HOM
27%
23%
50%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1892 |
HOM
4 - 0
STM
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1892 |
LEI
1 - 3
HOM
26%
23%
51%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |