Celtic vs Abercorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
11.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1896 |
HOM
1 - 1
CEL
60%
19%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1896 |
CEL
2 - 0
TLA
68%
17%
15%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1896 |
CEL
1 - 1
GLA
59%
19%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1896 |
DUN
2 - 2
CEL
25%
22%
54%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1896 |
CEL
2 - 1
STM
71%
16%
13%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Abercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1896 |
ABE
0 - 1
HOM
22%
20%
58%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1896 |
ABE
3 - 2
STM
35%
23%
43%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1896 |
DUN
3 - 0
ABE
59%
20%
21%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1896 |
ABE
2 - 3
STB
41%
23%
36%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1896 |
CLY
6 - 2
ABE
39%
21%
39%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |