Celtic vs Abercorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1891 |
CEL
9 - 1
VOL
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1891 |
GLA
1 - 2
CEL
58%
21%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1891 |
COW
0 - 5
CEL
32%
24%
44%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1891 |
CEL
1 - 1
TLA
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1891 |
CEL
1 - 0
DUM
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Abercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1891 |
TLA
2 - 1
ABE
58%
22%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1891 |
ABE
1 - 0
HOM
39%
24%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1891 |
CAM
4 - 5
ABE
64%
20%
17%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1891 |
HOM
1 - 1
ABE
61%
21%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1891 |
ABE
1 - 0
COW
62%
20%
19%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |