Celta vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
18.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
ZAR
6 - 0
CEL
75%
17%
9%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
CEL
1 - 2
RAC
53%
26%
22%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
ESP
1 - 0
CEL
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1986 |
OVI
1 - 0
CEL
50%
23%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
CEL
1 - 0
VCF
46%
26%
29%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
OVI
3 - 1
FCB
58%
27%
16%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
CAS
2 - 0
OVI
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
OVI
1 - 1
MUR
46%
28%
27%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1986 |
OVI
1 - 0
CEL
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
CDT
1 - 1
OVI
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |