Celta vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
REC
1 - 2
CEL
26%
28%
46%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
CEL
1 - 0
SPO
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
GIM
0 - 2
CEL
21%
25%
54%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
CEL
1 - 0
ALM
74%
18%
8%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
CEL
0 - 0
LLE
80%
14%
5%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
ALA
2 - 3
MUR
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
MUR
1 - 3
REC
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
SPO
2 - 0
MUR
55%
26%
19%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
MUR
1 - 0
GIM
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
MUR
0 - 0
ALM
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |