Celta vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1999 |
LAU
3 - 2
CEL
44%
27%
29%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
ATM
1 - 2
CEL
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
CEL
2 - 1
SEV
69%
19%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
OVI
1 - 0
CEL
34%
28%
38%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 1999 |
CEL
2 - 1
BET
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
RAY
2 - 1
RSO
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
RAY
2 - 1
MLL
39%
28%
34%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
ATM
0 - 2
RAY
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 1999 |
RAY
2 - 0
EXT
55%
23%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 1999 |
EXT
0 - 2
RAY
53%
24%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |