Celta vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
VAD
1 - 3
CEL
34%
28%
38%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
CEL
5 - 1
BET
61%
22%
18%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1999 |
CEL
2 - 0
ARI
68%
19%
12%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
ALA
1 - 0
CEL
32%
27%
41%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
CEL
2 - 1
ESP
59%
22%
18%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
FCP
2 - 0
SLB
66%
19%
15%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
SLB
1 - 0
CDT
95%
4%
0%
|
86 | 22 | 64 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1999 |
SLB
2 - 1
SPB
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1999 |
SLB
1 - 2
PAO
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
ALV
3 - 1
SLB
15%
25%
60%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |