Celta Fortuna vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
36.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
CDO
1 - 1
CEL
77%
16%
7%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
CEL
3 - 0
FIS
54%
25%
21%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
ARO
1 - 1
CEL
84%
12%
5%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
CEL
2 - 0
VER
63%
23%
15%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
LAL
1 - 0
CEL
74%
17%
9%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
LUG
2 - 0
GRA
61%
23%
15%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
DEP
2 - 0
LUG
47%
26%
27%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
LUG
2 - 0
ALO
62%
23%
16%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
VIV
2 - 2
LUG
41%
28%
32%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
DEP
8 - 1
LUG
87%
9%
4%
|
34 | 64 | 30 | 0 |