Celta Fortuna vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
LEM
2 - 1
CEL
44%
25%
32%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
CEL
2 - 1
ARO
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
ASP
3 - 1
CEL
66%
19%
16%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
CEL
2 - 0
ACF
69%
18%
12%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
FOZ
5 - 1
CEL
60%
21%
19%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
LUG
5 - 1
CHO
81%
13%
7%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
ALO
3 - 1
LUG
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
LUG
3 - 0
COX
91%
7%
2%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
RCF
1 - 0
LUG
82%
12%
7%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
LUG
0 - 2
DEP
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |