Celta Fortuna vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
13.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
ALO
1 - 1
CEL
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
SAN
1 - 1
CEL
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
CEL
0 - 0
VIV
67%
18%
16%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
CHO
4 - 2
CEL
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
CEL
4 - 1
ZEL
77%
13%
9%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
CHO
0 - 1
ZEL
68%
16%
16%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
CHO
4 - 1
ARO
73%
15%
12%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
ACF
2 - 3
CHO
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
CHO
4 - 2
CEL
51%
22%
27%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
VIV
3 - 0
CHO
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |