Celaya vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 0
ATL
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
TOR
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 0
ALE
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2016 |
ALE
2 - 1
TOR
44%
27%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 0
JUA
58%
25%
17%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
ZAC
1 - 2
CIM
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
CIM
2 - 3
ZAC
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MER
1 - 1
CIM
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CIM
0 - 1
ATL
28%
27%
45%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
CIM
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |