Cefn Druids AFC vs Neath Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
LLA
2 - 0
CEF
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
CEF
3 - 0
HOL
78%
14%
8%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
CEF
2 - 1
TNS
25%
23%
52%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2007 |
CEF
1 - 4
RHY
21%
23%
56%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2007 |
AIR
0 - 0
CEF
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Neath Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
NEA
2 - 5
WEL
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
ABE
3 - 1
NEA
52%
23%
25%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
LLA
1 - 3
NEA
77%
14%
9%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
TNS
3 - 1
NEA
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
NEA
2 - 1
AIR
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |