Ceará vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CEA
2 - 1
SAN
50%
26%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 1
CEA
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CEA
0 - 0
ATP
42%
27%
31%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
CEA
46%
27%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
CEA
0 - 1
FOR
50%
26%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 0
SAO
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 1
COR
54%
25%
21%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 0
ATL
59%
23%
19%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
CUI
1 - 1
SAO
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
ATL
3 - 1
SAO
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |