Ceará vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
39.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
SCI
2 - 1
CEA
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 0
CEA
44%
28%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CEA
1 - 1
CUI
61%
23%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ATM
0 - 0
CEA
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
CEA
1 - 1
GOI
59%
23%
18%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
COR
0 - 2
FLU
42%
27%
32%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 2
BOT
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
AVA
0 - 3
FLU
18%
25%
58%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FLU
0 - 2
AMF
65%
21%
14%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
ATL
3 - 2
FLU
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |