Ceará vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
VAS
2 - 0
CEA
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
CEA
3 - 1
SCI
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 2
CEA
36%
27%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
CEA
2 - 2
BOA
76%
16%
7%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
SCI
1 - 2
CEA
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
ABC
0 - 0
POR
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ABC
1 - 2
VAS
20%
26%
54%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
AMF
1 - 0
ABC
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
NOV
2 - 0
ABC
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 0
ABC
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |