Ceará U23 vs Vila Nova U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
GRE
3 - 2
CEA
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
CEA
5 - 0
PAR
68%
19%
14%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
CRB
0 - 3
CEA
19%
22%
59%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 0
FLU
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
COR
1 - 1
CEA
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 0
AVA
41%
25%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
FLU
1 - 2
VIL
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
3 - 1
COR
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
PAR
3 - 1
VIL
32%
24%
44%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 0
CRB
69%
19%
13%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |